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Thursday, September 18th, 2008

Apple's Genius Ponders Our Tastes

Andrew Laing

Apple held a somewhat underwhelming press event on Tuesday, September 9th, but while the deafening buzz Apple’s unveilings typically generate made this one seem a little dull by comparison, I found it quite interesting. The beautiful (and very colorful) new iPod nano wasn’t what made me sit up and take notice, though. What caught my attention was a feature in the new iTunes 8 called Genius.

Genius is, in a nutshell, a music-recommendation feature that works with the songs in your own library. It does basically two things for the user: it can suggest songs similar to the one being played that the listener might like to buy from the iTunes Store, and it can instantly sift through the listener’s library to generate a playlist of songs that are musically similar to the one currently playing. The former functionality is a transparently good idea to inspire more purchases (tailoring suggestions to what the listener is demonstrably in the mood for at any given moment makes a lot of sense), while the latter has already come in handy for me as it has shown me songs from my cavernous music library that I was in the mood to hear but had forgotten about.

So why is this interesting? Genius takes advantage of the wisdom of large numbers of people to recommend music in a way that makes Apple’s job easier and makes the service more accurate. As Steve Jobs (vaguely) explained in his speech, Genius will initially recommend music based on a proprietary, Apple-designed algorithm, but as more and more users turn on Genius it will (anonymously) gather data about users’ listening and playlist-management habits in order to “get smarter” (i.e., refine recommendations and more accurately determine which songs share qualities).

Pandora, an Internet music-streaming service that plays songs that share qualities with songs or artists you like, bases its recommendations on the mammoth Music Genome Project, which requires very smart people to spend up to half an hour per song creating a database of musical “genes” or shared qualities. But why spend all that time and effort (and money) when the preferences of the people you actually care about – end users – can easily be aggregated to produce recommendations that may even be more accurate?

Finding ways to take advantage of the information waiting to be gathered from large numbers of people is advantageous in many areas. Amazon.com, which disrupted brick-and-mortar retailers through an online offering with a limited ability to interact with customers, doesn’t need to develop a sophisticated recommendation system for determining which of its products go well together; it can simply track purchasing habits and tell you what other people combined with the purchase you just made.

The Dash Express, a potentially disruptive GPS navigation device (see here), doesn’t use the hard-to-gather and often inaccurate traffic information provided by the complex variety of traffic monitoring services; instead, it simply aggregates the positions and speeds of its users to come to more accurate, real-time conclusions about traffic conditions. Amazon and Dash are particularly interesting in that they have utilized this kind of information to strengthen their highly disruptive offerings by making them much better than competitors’ products along the dimensions that matter most to their customers (i.e., quality of product recommendations and quality and quantity of real-time traffic data).

Genius thus joins a long list of systems that leverage the “wisdom of crowds” to create improved products and services. The system may not make iTunes a more disruptive product (it adds features without any trade-offs), but it has the potential to be a powerful sustaining move. More broadly, seeking out and using crowds’ wisdom is easier than it has ever been, and many more new ways of taking advantage of it are undoubtedly yet to be discovered. 


Discussion

From: Chris Gathercole
Posted: Friday, September 19th, 2008 - 8:41 am EDT

As a uk-based, and hence sad, ex-user of Pandora, I don't agree with your paragraph saying "But why spend all that time and effort (and money) when the preferences of the people you actually care about – end users – can easily be aggregated to produce recommendations that may even be more accurate?".

The point is, Pandora really worked. It suggested music that was in fact similar to the seed suggestion(s) I gave it. It did not suggest the latest musical bandwagons that my friends may have jumped on, sounding nothing like what it was I after.

So, I would define two different scenarios:

- "Tell me what my friends (or people similar to me) are into at the moment". ITunes looks like it will tackle this (along with lastFM, etc). All very web2.0 buzzword compliant, social networky, sort of thing.

- "Give me music that actually sounds like _this_". And Pandora did it very effectively.

There's a distinct, qualitative difference between saying "I like X and I like Y" and "X is like Y". If enough iTunes users were able/encouraged to associate different songs together based on their own personal sense of the similarities between them, you would then have a chance of matching Pandora's standard of recommendations which are based on lots of expertise and effort.


From: Andrew Laing
Posted: Thursday, October 23rd, 2008 - 4:01 pm EDT

Hi Chris Gathercole,

Thank you for your comment. I agree that the tasks you identify are qualitatively different, but I would argue that in fact both those tasks are two ways of getting at a single goal, the goal that Genius, Pandora, et al. all serve: "I like X; show me a Y I'm likely to enjoy." Pandora may be based on the MGP, which categorizes songs based on their similarities and differences, but the point is to play listeners songs they'll like, and I think you'll agree that studying the habits of users is simply a different way of achieving that goal.

A good example of how users' behaviors can produce surprisingly accurate information about other users' likely preferences is Netflix: by observing the ratings of other users, Netflix can make some darn good inferences about what your ratings of movies you haven't seen are likely to be. It doesn't have to sit experts down in front of televisions for hours and ask them to identify movies' qualities, and the recommendations it offers aren't inaccurate by any stretch of the imagination (and they're getting even better -- see here http://www.netflixprize.com/).

Best,
Andrew



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